PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfB2E1C0179E84b8B5bc2B420D53DCFc05322E2A2-1758865463911

0xfb2e1c0179e84b8b5bc2b420d53dcfc05322e2a2

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$37.8k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$543.39

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record? · No0.5040.820$102.50+$39.47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8400.977$97.65+$13.65
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8400.955$95.50+$11.50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.7340.562$84.30−$25.85
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.4910.955$76.40+$37.10
Canada's population Up or Down this year? · Down0.3550.430$71.74+$12.44
Trump goes to space in 2026? · Yes0.0400.025$12.25−$7.75
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · Yes0.6800.061$3.05−$30.95
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$56.00
Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers0.4000.000$0.00−$20.00
Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers0.3900.000$0.00−$39.00
Wild vs. Avalanche · Wild0.3600.000$0.00−$35.99
Flyers vs. Hurricanes · Flyers0.3200.000$0.00−$32.00
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 15:26Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?SELL0.98$144.51
06-04 05:29Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.752$1.16
05-10 00:27Hurricanes vs. FlyersBUY0.39$39.00
05-08 00:49Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?BUY0.663541272$19.61
05-05 01:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.999$89.91
05-04 03:54Flyers vs. HurricanesBUY0.32$32.00
05-04 01:36Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.13$13.00
04-30 15:23Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?BUY0.95$47.50
04-30 00:38NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers BUY0.75$52.50
04-30 00:37NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning BUY0.42$21.00
04-29 22:42U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?BUY0.75$52.50
04-28 15:19Kash Patel out by May 31?BUY0.617793$61.78
04-28 15:08Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?BUY0.83$58.10
04-20 13:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.69$27.60
04-20 00:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.78$39.00