sgrendel
0xfb245b5fd7d6ec9ceccdf346ea3b8ca6662cc4bf
- Realised P&L
- $-907.47
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $92.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.025 | $92.53 | −$657.47 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 07:26 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2026439697 | $750.00 |
| 07-08 07:25 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0369330686 | $250.00 |