0xFB1ffC51f0a597D03541eeF29360F411e115f7a5-1791327698901
0xfb1ffc51f0a597d03541eef29360f411e115f7a5
- Realised P&L
- $-6.26
- Volume
- $445.81
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $56.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11? · No | 0.500 | 0.740 | $7.40 | +$2.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.600 | $6.67 | +$1.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10? · No | 0.500 | 0.615 | $6.15 | +$1.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.535 | $5.94 | +$0.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10? · No | 0.460 | 0.505 | $5.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11? · No | 0.490 | 0.510 | $5.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10? · No | 0.450 | 0.460 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 10? · No | 0.488 | 0.490 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11? · No | 0.490 | 0.475 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 10? · No | 0.480 | 0.420 | $4.38 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.57at 0.428Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 8?
- +$4.63at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?
- +$4.58at 0.522Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?
- +$4.23at 0.502Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 7?
- +$2.01at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.33 |
| 10-10 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-10 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4888158924 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4879286453 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.23 |
| 10-09 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.14 |
| 10-09 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |