PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfB1F357B2372dcf6B24cBA3e4018278d33D14904-1773230678300

0xfb1f357b2372dcf6b24cba3e4018278d33d14904

Realised P&L
$-78.35
Volume
$22.9k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$2.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 12:26Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.0727272727$1.00
10-05 12:24Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 6?BUY0.0574899387$1.00
10-05 12:19Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 6?BUY0.006$1.00
09-30 16:46Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2?BUY0.0169999998$1.00
09-30 16:46Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.05$1.00
09-30 16:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-30 16:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.0275002287$1.00
09-30 16:39Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-03 14:44Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 4?BUY0.005999994$1.00
09-03 14:44Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on September 4?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
09-03 14:43Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 4?BUY0.32$1.00
09-03 14:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?BUY0.0090909091$1.00
09-03 14:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 4?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
09-02 15:57Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 3?BUY0.05$1.00
09-02 15:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3?BUY0.04$1.00