0xfB1F357B2372dcf6B24cBA3e4018278d33D14904-1773230678300
0xfb1f357b2372dcf6b24cba3e4018278d33d14904
- Realised P&L
- $-78.35
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $2.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.36at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
- +$6.27at 0.143Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 2?
- +$4.84at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 29?
- +$3.51at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 8?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0727272727 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.0574899387 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0275002287 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4? | BUY | 0.0090909091 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |