0xfB1F357B2372dcf6B24cBA3e4018278d33D14904-1773230678300
0xfb1f357b2372dcf6b24cba3e4018278d33d14904
- Realised P&L
- $-54.82
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $2.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.40at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
- +$6.32at 0.137Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 2?
- +$4.88at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 29?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 8?
- +$3.35at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.994 | $2.68 |
| 08-04 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0576867609 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on May 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27? | BUY | 0.148999882 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 12:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on May 25? | BUY | 0.0045605577 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 07:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 25? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |