0xfb1c3c1ab4fb2d0cbcbb9538c8d4d357dd95963e
- Realised P&L
- $445.9k
- Volume
- $180.17M
- Markets traded
- 67,827
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded67,827
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down - September 21, 6AM ET · Down | 0.410 | 0.730 | $1.24 | +$0.54 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 6AM ET · Up | 0.120 | 0.025 | $0.69 | −$2.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.5kat 0.009Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$99.6kat 0.951Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?
- +$91.6kat 0.010Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
- +$77.9kat 0.264Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?
- +$68.9kat 0.140Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 18:18 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-20 07:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 09-19 20:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.5732653061 | $28.09 |
| 09-19 20:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 09-19 16:34 | Solana Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2284 | $11.42 |
| 09-18 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $6.36 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Solana Up or Down - September 16, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $34.50 |
| 09-16 05:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 09-15 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 09-15 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 09-14 12:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.245 | $9.80 |
| 09-13 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $32.40 |
| 09-12 08:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 09-12 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 09-12 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $16.80 |