Tolandzfb
0xfb155349489795831036130a5501d2e133cb0db1
- Realised P&L
- $-38.79
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $17.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $17.49 | +$0.15 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.352 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.52 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims) · Ramiz Brahimaj | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.82 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.35 |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.48 |
| UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims) · Lerryan Douglas | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.34at 0.500Will Union Berlin win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
- +$101.68at 0.500Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?
- +$41.31at 0.387Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
- +$36.90at 0.500Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$23.41at 0.500Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:59 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.59 | $17.34 |
| 08-24 06:47 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.98 |
| 08-24 06:47 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.77 | $20.79 |
| 08-24 06:47 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 03:12 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $31.94 |
| 08-19 03:11 | UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.79 | $20.53 |
| 08-19 03:10 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-11 11:28 | UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.54 | $17.82 |
| 07-24 08:55 | Will Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.73 | $25.77 |
| 07-10 11:32 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3525 | $9.52 |
| 06-16 10:59 | Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.38 | $25.61 |
| 05-29 02:07 | Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.75 | $26.47 |
| 05-11 11:12 | Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $41.92 |
| 05-11 11:12 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? | BUY | 0.55 | $9.35 |
| 05-11 11:11 | Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |