PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfb12eae3220f8291d17097514ed71e73657991e7

Realised P&L
$-0.25
Volume
$734.00
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$55.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.5700.925$22.20+$8.52
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9300.966$13.52+$0.50
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1700.105$10.08$6.28
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8200.920$8.28+$0.90
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$1.24$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 23:28Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$7.38
07-13 06:12Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.92$7.36
07-12 04:22Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.85$4.25
07-11 11:32Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$5.46
07-11 05:02U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.13$1.17
06-22 15:02Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$2.24
06-22 14:57Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$2.24
06-22 14:51Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$4.00
06-22 14:43Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$4.15
06-22 14:32Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.88$4.40
06-22 13:02Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.85$5.10
06-22 12:48Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.12
06-22 12:37Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$1.71
06-16 16:11Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$1.61
06-16 15:25Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.85$4.25