miric99
0xfb0dc3c31c6c6c03a8967f0bfc80792020baac5b
- Realised P&L
- $422.51
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $144.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? · No | 0.989 | 0.999 | $49.92 | +$0.47 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.956 | $47.77 | −$0.47 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.958 | $47.25 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.272Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?
- +$870.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 1?
- +$800.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on June 24?
- +$523.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on June 1?
- +$0.82at 0.974Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:05 | XRP Up or Down on June 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $910.00 |
| 05-30 09:54 | XRP Up or Down on June 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $523.00 |
| 05-28 10:59 | XRP Up or Down on May 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $450.00 |
| 05-26 13:35 | XRP Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.5066156463 | $297.89 |
| 05-21 13:34 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.55 | $358.60 |
| 05-05 12:52 | Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9? | BUY | 0.2718300671 | $680.00 |