busy
0xfb09029506693573193067c92b7435f3e359cfe0
- Realised P&L
- $-523.66
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $15.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.003 | $15.00 | −$39.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.606Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$153.19at 0.800Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$142.30at 0.403Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$72.41at 0.580Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$54.05at 0.800Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-06 00:02 | Hillary Clinton charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $513.00 |
| 10-18 10:53 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $54.00 |
| 05-18 23:49 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BUY | 0.3599999989 | $122.32 |
| 05-12 18:28 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BUY | 0.2999999763 | $6.32 |
| 04-28 16:48 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BUY | 0.3327980621 | $195.36 |
| 03-20 21:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.69999999 | $62.98 |
| 03-04 22:36 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 03-04 22:35 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 22:31 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 03-04 22:25 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BUY | 0.57 | $171.00 |
| 03-04 22:11 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BUY | 0.57 | $285.00 |
| 03-04 22:09 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025? | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 03-04 22:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BUY | 0.51 | $110.58 |
| 02-25 21:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025? | BUY | 0.583 | $116.60 |
| 02-25 00:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |