PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

busy

0xfb09029506693573193067c92b7435f3e359cfe0

Realised P&L
$-523.66
Volume
$29.1k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$15.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.003$15.00$39.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-06 00:02Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?BUY0.95$513.00
10-18 10:53Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.009$54.00
05-18 23:49Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? BUY0.3599999989$122.32
05-12 18:28Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? BUY0.2999999763$6.32
04-28 16:48Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? BUY0.3327980621$195.36
03-20 21:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.69999999$62.98
03-04 22:36US recession in 2025?BUY0.64$128.00
03-04 22:35Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? BUY0.5699999991$100.00
03-04 22:31Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?BUY0.77$77.00
03-04 22:25Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? BUY0.57$171.00
03-04 22:11Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? BUY0.57$285.00
03-04 22:09NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?BUY0.85$425.00
03-04 22:08Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?BUY0.51$110.58
02-25 21:41Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?BUY0.583$116.60
02-25 00:24Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?BUY0.42$42.00