RichmondCPartners
0xfb07b5f9174db8ff8532ea68d5bdf1b835e644a4
- Realised P&L
- $-71.70
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $113.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.115 | $113.58 | +$7.24 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? · Yes | 0.599 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.39at 0.487United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$37.41at 0.724Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$23.33at 0.126Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$12.19at 0.943Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
- +$10.36at 0.640Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:07 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1076663515 | $106.34 |
| 07-07 02:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2899999915 | $15.00 |
| 07-07 02:06 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 00:04 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 15:00 | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | SELL | 0.996 | $61.88 |
| 04-29 04:14 | Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat? | SELL | 0.607 | $8.20 |
| 04-29 04:14 | Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.51 |
| 04-29 03:34 | Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat? | BUY | 0.7399999349 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 03:32 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SELL | 0.996 | $38.02 |
| 04-29 00:17 | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 00:16 | Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Canadian Election? | SELL | 0.5 | $15.83 |
| 04-29 00:15 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 00:14 | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.664999999 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 00:12 | Will NDP win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election? | SELL | 0.7134833011 | $25.85 |
| 04-28 23:29 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BUY | 0.9411037104 | $21.00 |