0xfafdccb413581bd26c1fafa961bbcc653f59c916
0xfafdccb413581bd26c1fafa961bbcc653f59c916
- Realised P&L
- $87.83
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $102.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.90at 0.341Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
- +$44.10at 0.532Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$41.81at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$39.36at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$25.84at 0.743Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:12 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-02 00:11 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.33 | $48.53 |
| 10-02 00:11 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.52 | $49.05 |
| 10-02 00:07 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-13 08:21 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.309999999 | $48.44 |
| 07-14 19:38 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 09:59 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.65 |
| 07-12 08:12 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2109999945 | $26.73 |
| 07-12 08:11 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3769999954 | $37.32 |
| 07-11 17:04 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.48 | $9.90 |
| 07-11 17:03 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.0439999907 | $4.46 |
| 07-11 17:02 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.0699999906 | $6.68 |
| 07-11 17:02 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.1199999916 | $11.39 |
| 07-11 17:01 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6474999996 | $34.65 |
| 07-10 20:39 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7399999982 | $49.50 |