gruntttt
0xfafb881aa3beabc3fad700f0eee84e5fd15227ea
- Realised P&L
- $-79.14
- Volume
- $86.0k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $1.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$641.77at 0.347Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?
- +$326.00at 0.348LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$268.64at 0.363LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
- +$226.00at 0.548LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
- +$218.00at 0.233LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 15:43 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 05-07 15:10 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.50 |
| 05-06 06:04 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 05-05 06:39 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 04-13 15:54 | LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.4526 | $45.26 |
| 04-05 13:43 | LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $0.94 |
| 04-05 13:20 | Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.9102908261 | $37.90 |
| 04-04 13:40 | Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.9469642506 | $86.62 |
| 03-31 15:45 | Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.9747408794 | $150.96 |
| 03-31 15:44 | Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.971 | $208.04 |
| 03-28 00:15 | LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage | BUY | 0.02 | $0.72 |
| 03-27 23:25 | LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 03-27 23:12 | Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27? | SELL | 0.87 | $300.70 |
| 03-27 22:51 | Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27? | BUY | 0.87 | $601.40 |
| 03-17 18:32 | LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |