0xFAfa9c14D5aE7DB1B6aA51880B8e9D6489fa748B-1772377827945
0xfafa9c14d5ae7db1b6aa51880b8e9d6489fa748b
- Realised P&L
- $-71.07
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 407
- Open portfolio
- $8.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded407
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.28at 0.326Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?
- +$7.24at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$7.20at 0.129Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?
- +$6.14at 0.405Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?
- +$5.90at 0.448Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 11:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 15:47 | Will Solana dip to $70 in September? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 15:31 | Will Solana dip to $60 in September? | BUY | 0.0260528959 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 15:31 | Will Solana dip to $70 in September? | BUY | 0.0609999986 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:20 | Will Solana reach $150 in September? | BUY | 0.0519999979 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:05 | Will Solana reach $160 in September? | BUY | 0.0449999984 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 15:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 08:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 08:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 02:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.86 |
| 08-03 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |