0xFAF60b98D8CC5DC0B61C987f5904a82206b4Fb5F-1780307609018
0xfaf60b98d8cc5dc0b61c987f5904a82206b4fb5f
- Realised P&L
- $-166.09
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $4.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$336.31at 0.481Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?
- +$262.70at 0.566Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?
- +$191.90at 0.159Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?
- +$130.59at 0.607Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$93.73at 0.204Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.1558589509 | $11.05 |
| 09-03 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.5699999947 | $13.00 |
| 09-03 02:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.0029850746 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 02:55 | Bitcoin above 77,800 on September 2, 11PM ET? | SELL | 0.838 | $15.08 |
| 09-03 02:36 | Bitcoin above 78,000 on September 2, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.2315978278 | $8.00 |
| 09-03 02:29 | Bitcoin above 77,800 on September 2, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.88 |
| 08-27 09:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.001 | $12.50 |
| 08-14 02:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.2082630207 | $23.98 |
| 08-13 07:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.5699999975 | $9.00 |
| 08-13 07:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14? | SELL | 0.04 | $3.33 |
| 08-13 07:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? | SELL | 0.0914564521 | $3.14 |
| 08-13 07:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 04:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.7299999791 | $7.00 |
| 08-13 04:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.1456310445 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 04:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.1165048356 | $5.00 |