0xfAe9Cd2A049324004cA337978563B67bDF9aE6AC-1777225821213
0xfae9cd2a049324004ca337978563b67bdf9ae6ac
- Realised P&L
- $35.17
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $91.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.275 | $53.83 | −$26.43 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.070 | $37.35 | −$62.65 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.62at 0.497Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$14.02at 0.482Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 19:21 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1873996412 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 18:57 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 18:54 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.7230149159 | $22.78 |
| 05-30 18:44 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 18:32 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 23:10 | Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $27.37 |
| 05-16 22:54 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 22:33 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $150.12 |
| 05-16 22:16 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.1644695198 | $7.88 |
| 05-16 22:14 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999858 | $9.00 |
| 05-16 21:38 | Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 05-16 21:32 | Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 18:50 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0659999988 | $50.00 |
| 04-26 18:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4099999982 | $80.26 |