PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfAe9Cd2A049324004cA337978563B67bDF9aE6AC-1777225821213

0xfae9cd2a049324004ca337978563b67bdf9ae6ac

Realised P&L
$35.17
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$91.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4100.275$53.83$26.43
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1870.070$37.35$62.65
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 19:21Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1873996412$100.00
05-30 18:57Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
05-30 18:54Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.7230149159$22.78
05-30 18:44Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.449999955$5.00
05-30 18:32Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
05-16 23:10Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.99$27.37
05-16 22:54Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
05-16 22:33Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.2$150.12
05-16 22:16Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.1644695198$7.88
05-16 22:14Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.2199999858$9.00
05-16 21:38Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.4699999702$3.00
05-16 21:32Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.4699999915$10.00
05-16 18:50Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0659999988$50.00
04-26 18:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4099999982$80.26