PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MSK7

0xfae133ebac226e5f136794ea20545cdebfeadff5

Realised P&L
$-112.49
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
389
Open portfolio
$4.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded389
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.6500.635$1.95−$0.05
Will Senegal win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.7300.745$1.02+$0.02
Will Ghana win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.6700.680$1.01+$0.01
Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.4900.485$0.99−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Down0.2270.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Richmond Kickers win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.7200.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 07:22Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.39$0.98
09-29 07:14Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
09-29 07:13Will Senegal win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-29 07:11Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-29 07:11Will Ghana win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-29 07:10Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.4$1.00
09-29 01:17Eagles vs. BearsSELL0.59$1.07
09-29 01:02Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.549999945$1.00
09-29 00:58Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.49$2.00
09-29 00:58Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.25$1.85
09-29 00:30Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
09-29 00:30Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-28 23:16Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.41$1.61
09-28 23:16Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.8$1.36
09-28 22:10Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.5099999516$2.00