lookmeeye
0xfae0fd7fc400078a4d75097d1b7d4a19f8f312b9
- Realised P&L
- $-244.91
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $546.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.507 | $217.96 | −$211.51 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.992 | $213.17 | +$1.40 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $130? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $53.76 | −$0.19 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? · No | 0.999 | 0.511 | $51.15 | −$48.75 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.971 | 0.978 | $9.92 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.48at 0.984Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$11.60at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$8.50at 0.990Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$7.30at 0.910Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$7.19at 0.991Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 02:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-09 02:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $429.47 |
| 08-09 02:03 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $130? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.95 |
| 08-05 06:58 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $139.72 |
| 08-05 06:57 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-02 13:30 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 3 above $1.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 07-27 14:07 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $199.20 |
| 07-26 07:30 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 07-25 06:51 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $201.51 |
| 07-22 02:16 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $2.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 07-22 02:12 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 07-22 02:10 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-17 00:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.9987260058 | $152.00 |