avxdcbdf
0xfae021c584e0fda63c7389a1288838c3e590f3cc
- Realised P&L
- $0.28
- Volume
- $301.79
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? · No | 0.999 | 0.991 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.951 | 0.911 | $4.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.71at 0.617Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$0.23at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?
- +$0.16at 0.985Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:46 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.9510775233 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 02:40 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 07:26 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.65 |
| 07-08 07:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999845 | $7.50 |
| 06-24 05:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9839999606 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 03:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 05-06 03:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 03:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 03:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6? | BUY | 0.998999997 | $247.00 |