PolyBot

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Traders

bearwin

0xfadeac30d08d0910835c6871bdfd141cef3368cf

Realised P&L
$-836.54
Volume
$57.4k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$96.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 07:42Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.001$1.00
10-24 14:57Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?SELL0.037$14.21
10-24 13:26Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.054$54.00
09-03 01:53Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 3?SELL0.3210754043$15.29
09-02 05:38Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 3?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
09-02 05:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 3?BUY0.9299999975$15.00
09-02 05:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 3?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
04-12 09:56No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.39$114.53
04-09 06:25No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.34$27.54
04-03 11:21Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.1419990669$70.01
04-03 05:02Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?BUY0.2651555556$117.36
04-03 04:44Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.51$2.48
04-03 04:44Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota TwinsSELL0.5$7.00
04-03 04:43Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.51$173.25
04-03 02:48Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.51$495.01