ilovemath
0xfadcdeba19771abc2f785f7843c4faac27ece474
- Realised P&L
- $-714.06
- Volume
- $78.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.040 | $2.0k | −$4.0k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.99 |
| Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$304.02 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · FUT Esports | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.99 |
| Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.06 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs · Spirit | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:36 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $270.00 |
| 09-09 09:34 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0849716 | $594.80 |
| 09-08 18:56 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1295136375 | $5.2k |
| 01-29 10:42 | Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 01-18 21:07 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.01 | $19.00 |