PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sibou

0xfadb03d6dccd8bd12d119c47642613710f09c080

Realised P&L
$-114.42
Volume
$53.7k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$1.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.013$1.02$9.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 15:47Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999902$10.55
05-12 15:46Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?SELL0.15$10.59
05-01 14:14Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?BUY0.2599999918$18.36
05-01 14:14Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?SELL0.17$15.71
03-27 18:17Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?BUY0.549999956$5.00
03-27 18:15Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.962$264.19
03-27 18:15Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.963$1.2k
03-27 18:11No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.62$21.15
03-27 17:51No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.6299999912$21.49
03-27 17:51Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.965$1.5k
03-27 17:50Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.947$591.92
03-27 17:47Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.947$107.86
03-27 17:46Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.948$523.33
03-27 14:58Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.958$1.5k
03-27 14:58Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?SELL0.7381900082$27.04