Richforfun
0xfad9d0806c19c98e4e28ceb212f6b2c056c0aca8
- Realised P&L
- $-47.35
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $337.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.703 | 0.675 | $65.24 | −$2.67 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.415 | $57.64 | −$4.95 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.755 | $50.18 | −$0.33 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.657 | 0.600 | $47.11 | −$4.51 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.493 | 0.505 | $28.71 | +$0.68 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.304 | $25.68 | +$5.15 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.497 | 0.410 | $21.41 | −$4.55 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.340 | $20.83 | +$0.61 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.815 | $20.37 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.24at 0.552Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
- +$2.57at 0.280Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals
- +$0.92at 0.520Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$0.07at 0.940Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$-1.00at 0.130Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:28 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $7.88 |
| 07-30 15:26 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.10 |
| 07-27 13:31 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.67 | $18.05 |
| 07-11 10:36 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4899999467 | $2.48 |
| 07-11 10:30 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 18:43 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5525000767 | $4.00 |
| 07-10 18:42 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.272499859 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:19 | Michael Olise: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:19 | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:13 | Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:11 | Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:09 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 19:09 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 18:58 | Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 19:14 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |