BukharinBergbergstein
0xfad9afbdf4cb8c9dd00950acb79ff0bfa747a3d2
- Realised P&L
- $214.88
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $761.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.39at 0.838Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
- +$31.58at 0.425Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$30.54at 0.267Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$15.61at 0.843Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
- +$12.20at 0.018Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 14:19 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $12.53 |
| 07-10 19:05 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $14.25 |
| 07-10 19:00 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.8414008335 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 14:34 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.3352141462 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 14:29 | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $227.09 |
| 06-11 07:22 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 18:04 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%? | BUY | 0.0019000832 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 18:04 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 18:02 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 18:02 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 05:33 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0939999607 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 16:23 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.76 |
| 05-24 16:06 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.56 | $12.72 |
| 05-19 14:46 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.62 | $4.90 |
| 05-01 17:41 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.875 | $10.50 |