PolyBot

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Traders

BukharinBergbergstein

0xfad9afbdf4cb8c9dd00950acb79ff0bfa747a3d2

Realised P&L
$200.31
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$344.85

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.8900.925$86.94+$3.29
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · No0.8020.958$58.30+$9.50
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? · Yes0.9120.977$54.95+$3.63
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.020$40.00+$22.00
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? · Yes0.8250.987$39.59+$6.49
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.025$25.50+$15.50
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.3350.065$19.39−$80.61
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.2300.705$15.33+$10.33
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.024$2.27+$0.27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0500.042$2.10−$0.40
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25−$0.75
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.17−$0.83
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.001$0.06−$0.94
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 12:06Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$4.07
09-26 21:12Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.972$97.20
08-19 14:19Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?SELL0.94$12.53
07-10 19:05Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$14.25
07-10 19:00Israel election: will Likud lose seats?BUY0.8414008335$100.00
07-01 14:34Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.3352141462$100.00
07-01 14:29Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?SELL0.998$227.09
06-11 07:22Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
06-10 18:04Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?BUY0.0019000832$1.00
06-10 18:04Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?BUY0.008$1.00
06-10 18:02Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?BUY0.16$1.00
06-10 18:02Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
06-09 05:33Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0939999607$2.00
06-05 16:23Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.89$13.76
05-24 16:06Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.56$12.72