PolyBot

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Traders

0xfad855ddbcb2c075dee891a8007a9323a3a83e8a

0xfad855ddbcb2c075dee891a8007a9323a3a83e8a

Realised P&L
$3.04
Volume
$284.22
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$9.66

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6800.865$1.27+$0.27
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · No0.7300.870$1.19+$0.19
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · No0.5500.605$1.10+$0.10
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · Yes0.4800.495$1.03+$0.03
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · Yes0.3300.315$0.95−$0.05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.5300.490$0.92−$0.08
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · Yes0.4500.415$0.92−$0.08
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.5600.455$0.81−$0.19
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No0.7800.580$0.74−$0.26
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.8000.570$0.71−$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 00:06Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-12 04:06Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-11 20:06Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-11 12:06Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-11 03:49Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-10 19:12Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-10 10:48Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-10 01:49Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-10 01:48Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.78$1.00
10-09 17:40Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
10-09 09:30Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7839999561$1.00
10-09 00:24Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-08 15:36Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-08 07:35Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2549999758$1.00
10-07 23:35Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00