0xfad855ddbcb2c075dee891a8007a9323a3a83e8a
0xfad855ddbcb2c075dee891a8007a9323a3a83e8a
- Realised P&L
- $3.04
- Volume
- $284.22
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $9.66
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.865 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · No | 0.730 | 0.870 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · No | 0.550 | 0.605 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.495 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.315 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.530 | 0.490 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.415 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.455 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No | 0.780 | 0.580 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.570 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$2.96at 0.259Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 00:06 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:06 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 20:06 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 12:06 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:49 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:12 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:49 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:48 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:30 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7839999561 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:24 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:36 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:35 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2549999758 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:35 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |