0xfac3afac023d218fb80394c5b827f159846ac68f
0xfac3afac023d218fb80394c5b827f159846ac68f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.32
- Volume
- $153.33
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$5.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.432Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18?
- +$3.02at 0.622Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 15?
- +$1.24at 0.552Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-3.11at 0.295Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 20?
- +$-3.78at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0581625046 | $3.17 |
| 09-20 09:05 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2847393365 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1913157895 | $3.64 |
| 09-18 10:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 09-16 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.54 | $6.48 |
| 09-15 09:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.88 |
| 09-02 21:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999856 | $1.50 |