P0lySniper
0xfac12bbf63f28b986db480a131e9089c334a182b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.73
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.066 | $2.86 | −$2.14 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.038 | $1.05 | −$1.45 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.74at 0.649Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.659Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
- +$1.00at 0.050Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.845Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
- +$0.72at 0.875Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 08:54 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0030321516 | $4.03 |
| 06-25 08:49 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0037595342 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 08:49 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 08:49 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 08:49 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 08:00 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1145659551 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 17:48 | Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.57 |
| 06-24 03:02 | Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 19:44 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | BUY | 0.658999991 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 23:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 14:23 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21? | SELL | 0.014 | $2.22 |
| 06-21 11:26 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 08:50 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21? | BUY | 0.0314846357 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 06:13 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 06:01 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |