0xfAbf011d4E50d64Cf2Dc427339ba7f78fA85A8d3-1758426493493
0xfabf011d4e50d64cf2dc427339ba7f78fa85a8d3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.43
- Volume
- $289.07
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $7.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No | 0.600 | 0.485 | $2.42 | −$0.57 |
| Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $1.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No | 0.590 | 0.675 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.210 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No | 0.490 | 0.450 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.21at 0.062Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.70at 0.170Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.360Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$0.24at 0.410Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$0.00at 0.998Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 04:20 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 01:11 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 01:05 | Will Axel Kicillof win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 22:49 | Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-19 22:26 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 22:25 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 02:53 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.76 |
| 03-23 18:36 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 18:34 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 18:24 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.044878161 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 18:24 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1372406948 | $2.21 |
| 01-16 19:46 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0619999428 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 02:38 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 16:59 | Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.24 |
| 10-26 16:41 | Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.41 |