0xfabe622ef8ca332f75a6d55409d4328303ef8c03
0xfabe622ef8ca332f75a6d55409d4328303ef8c03
- Realised P&L
- $-26.43
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $18.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.86at 0.205Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$5.84at 0.269Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$5.25at 0.291Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08?
- +$4.29at 0.428Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
- +$4.28at 0.407Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:19 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0389999999 | $8.48 |
| 10-01 10:17 | Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:17 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 10:12 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4799999355 | $2.38 |
| 10-01 10:11 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999678 | $3.38 |
| 09-29 14:20 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.16 |
| 09-29 14:17 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.20 |
| 09-29 14:17 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.18 |
| 09-29 11:13 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5699999411 | $3.97 |
| 09-29 10:03 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:58 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.049 | $4.52 |
| 09-28 19:59 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4199999432 | $2.22 |
| 09-28 13:48 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3799999639 | $2.74 |
| 09-26 22:48 | Will Canada vs. Chile end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.41 |
| 09-26 22:47 | Will Mexico win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |