0xfaB7b539C42DfE5875CE67E0ca6200989EbaCcec-1773239351207
0xfab7b539c42dfe5875ce67e0ca6200989ebaccec
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $425.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.650 | 0.955 | $425.25 | +$135.81 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Racing Club? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.56 | −$99.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Up | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.66 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) · Real Madrid CF | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$597.71at 0.327Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
- +$298.99at 0.487Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$198.10at 0.597Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
- +$120.40at 0.577Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$51.26at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:46 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.6499999996 | $289.44 |
| 09-16 16:44 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Racing Club? | BUY | 0.09 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 16:43 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $86.90 |
| 09-14 09:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $90.48 |
| 09-14 06:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 15:27 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999995 | $290.21 |
| 07-07 15:26 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $284.00 |
| 06-26 16:56 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $280.02 |
| 06-19 13:10 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.5699999987 | $162.37 |
| 03-18 05:24 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.63 | $77.36 |