athug11
0xfaa2582b24663f2c62f91ec0a746e0f1280f80cc
- Realised P&L
- $-40.60
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $121.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) · Bills | 0.580 | 0.815 | $121.94 | +$35.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Up | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Down | 0.189 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.98 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.38at 0.355Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$26.82at 0.730Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$19.19at 0.809Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$15.05at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$14.21at 0.657Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:27 | Spread: Bills (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5799999987 | $86.78 |
| 07-08 02:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 02:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 02:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 07-08 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 07-08 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $12.25 |
| 07-08 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8325596911 | $60.00 |
| 07-08 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 02:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $11.09 |
| 07-08 02:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999974 | $39.00 |
| 07-08 02:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $13.06 |
| 07-08 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | SELL | 0.3687833442 | $11.34 |
| 07-08 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |