0xfaa0084954e504f7676f5abe1f98f4151d9a139c
0xfaa0084954e504f7676f5abe1f98f4151d9a139c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $98.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $987.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.475 | $950.00 | −$350.00 |
| Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.715 | $37.54 | −$1.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.60at 0.860Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
- +$7.25at 0.700Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
- +$7.11at 0.510UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$0.00at 0.780Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
- +$0.00at 0.830SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 12:27 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.2k |
| 08-05 13:28 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $160.80 |
| 08-03 11:52 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.6255728625 | $168.28 |
| 08-01 15:16 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 07-31 14:42 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.62256875 | $99.61 |
| 07-29 18:50 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 07-29 17:47 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $46.50 |
| 07-14 11:37 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.6k |
| 07-11 14:14 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.5k |
| 07-08 17:01 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.5524097756 | $1.5k |
| 07-05 00:28 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.65 | $185.37 |
| 06-15 10:56 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $699.53 |
| 05-24 11:49 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.433 | $10.82 |
| 05-24 11:48 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.48 | $35.73 |
| 05-24 11:47 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.641 | $3.84 |