morphweather
0xfa99822c8b1e84a29b0ddef3eefa914364b729af
- Realised P&L
- $-173.02
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $67.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.58at 0.154Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?
- +$193.59at 0.162Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?
- +$146.40at 0.146Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10?
- +$109.85at 0.188Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?
- +$75.56at 0.235Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.15 |
| 09-24 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-23 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.32 |
| 09-23 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.96 |
| 09-22 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1788989696 | $24.47 |
| 09-22 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.09 |
| 09-22 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5 | $24.00 |
| 09-21 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.26 |
| 09-21 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.31 |
| 09-20 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.56 | $22.57 |
| 09-20 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.54 | $24.00 |
| 09-19 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.46 | $1.38 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.65 | $16.81 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1212695002 | $13.40 |
| 09-18 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $16.17 |