0xFA945bFB419be5356d2d8dF050EfA4198B7F9EdF-1762588728493
0xfa945bfb419be5356d2d8df050efa4198b7f9edf
- Realised P&L
- $46.53
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $196.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.127 | $196.48 | −$3.70 |
| Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.52 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · Spirit | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.75 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.78 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · Vitality | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.64at 0.251Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
- +$20.45at 0.630Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$15.29at 0.235Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$14.47at 0.716Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$11.70at 0.200Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 14:50 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 07-13 17:47 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999889 | $19.52 |
| 07-10 16:16 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 16:23 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.71 | $36.19 |
| 07-04 14:38 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9299999978 | $24.91 |
| 07-02 17:39 | Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1674999736 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 17:45 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 07-01 16:54 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 06-29 18:06 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 06-21 17:42 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.9209999721 | $15.90 |
| 06-20 20:24 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | SELL | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 06-20 20:21 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 06-19 18:35 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.689999996 | $12.00 |
| 06-19 18:08 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | SELL | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 04-13 16:40 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.992 | $56.03 |