PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFA945bFB419be5356d2d8dF050EfA4198B7F9EdF-1762588728493

0xfa945bfb419be5356d2d8df050efa4198b7f9edf

Realised P&L
$46.53
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$196.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes0.1290.127$196.48−$3.70
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5970.000$0.00−$19.52
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · Spirit0.2500.000$0.00−$8.75
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$5.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · Vitality0.6900.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 14:50Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsBUY0.23$9.20
07-13 17:47France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999889$19.52
07-10 16:16Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.1$1.00
07-07 16:23Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.71$36.19
07-04 14:38Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9299999978$24.91
07-02 17:39Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.1674999736$5.00
07-01 17:45Will England win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.35$10.50
07-01 16:54Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.42$12.60
06-29 18:06Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.23$4.60
06-21 17:42Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.9209999721$15.90
06-20 20:24Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSELL0.58$11.60
06-20 20:21Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSELL0.18$1.80
06-19 18:35Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.689999996$12.00
06-19 18:08Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSELL0.5$20.00
04-13 16:40Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.992$56.03