PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

asdfadfasdf1

0xfa87a158110370eb6dbe678843c055a6b144c2a0

Realised P&L
$18.6k
Volume
$1.72M
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$75.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.2090.886$74.9k+$57.3k
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.001$250.00$749.58
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$11.2k
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$32.2k
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$4.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 00:14Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$218.81
08-29 00:14Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$313.80
08-29 00:14Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$467.39
08-09 23:13Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY0.9$27.50
08-09 23:12Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY0.877336375$701.87
07-05 21:42Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.038$1.0k
07-05 21:35Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.037$237.91
07-05 21:14Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.038$2.6k
01-30 00:11Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?SELL0.041$99.05
01-30 00:09Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?SELL0.044$15.05
01-29 23:50Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1376371704$21.25
01-29 23:39Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY0.4699220969$423.46
01-29 23:07US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.5$2.1k
01-29 23:06US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.50181676$5.0k
01-23 22:10Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY0.7479463694$208.00