asdfadfasdf1
0xfa87a158110370eb6dbe678843c055a6b144c2a0
- Realised P&L
- $18.6k
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $75.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.886 | $74.9k | +$57.3k |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $250.00 | −$749.58 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.2k |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.2k |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.469Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$182.05at 0.501US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 00:14 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $218.81 |
| 08-29 00:14 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $313.80 |
| 08-29 00:14 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $467.39 |
| 08-09 23:13 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.50 |
| 08-09 23:12 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | BUY | 0.877336375 | $701.87 |
| 07-05 21:42 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.0k |
| 07-05 21:35 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.037 | $237.91 |
| 07-05 21:14 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.038 | $2.6k |
| 01-30 00:11 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.041 | $99.05 |
| 01-30 00:09 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.044 | $15.05 |
| 01-29 23:50 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.1376371704 | $21.25 |
| 01-29 23:39 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | BUY | 0.4699220969 | $423.46 |
| 01-29 23:07 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.1k |
| 01-29 23:06 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.50181676 | $5.0k |
| 01-23 22:10 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | BUY | 0.7479463694 | $208.00 |