PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

unite

0xfa77fd9d00928bb27cfe597102f1f8ac6b1cadf7

Realised P&L
$-181.99
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$11.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes0.2470.075$6.72−$15.25
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.036$4.68−$38.22
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.0610.000$0.00−$1.22
Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$4.80
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$20.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$40.00
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$7.02
Will Bryan Johnson say "Illegal" or "Experiment" while tripping balls? · No0.0250.000$0.00−$3.09
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.4510.000$0.00−$316.35
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$39.72
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00−$44.26
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.4140.000$0.00−$70.48
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$29.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 07:26Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.0609513996$18.90
08-06 07:26Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.69$28.75
02-22 12:33Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.099$0.09
02-18 13:09Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.1005594202$52.79
01-19 12:33Nothing Ever Happens: JanuarySELL0.69$13.80
01-17 14:02Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?SELL0.957$19.14
01-17 12:00U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?BUY0.247$12.35
01-17 12:00U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?BUY0.247$4.70
01-17 12:00U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?BUY0.246$4.92
01-16 12:41Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.6221428571$87.10
01-16 12:41Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.9616$48.08
01-16 09:39Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.3$28.61
01-16 09:36Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?BUY0.81$16.20
01-16 09:31Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.12$39.72
01-16 09:23Grok 4.20 released by January 31?BUY0.62$12.40