smoovster
0xfa77f9e1bd962cb1f1bd2ac0e7b37f38cf0b563b
- Realised P&L
- $9.5k
- Volume
- $1.94M
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $20.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.6kat 0.143Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.6kat 0.554Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.8kat 0.025Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.8kat 0.012Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.254Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 19:36 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.086 | $300.00 |
| 07-27 01:23 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0883484548 | $1.5k |
| 07-24 20:17 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-23 16:28 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.6451555399 | $5.0k |
| 07-22 19:15 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $1.1k |
| 07-22 19:15 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1243828099 | $3.9k |
| 07-19 23:31 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.0791000473 | $471.96 |
| 07-19 23:31 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.2593082786 | $1.4k |
| 07-19 23:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.5807385019 | $7.0k |
| 07-19 23:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.6k |
| 07-17 00:02 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8260299565 | $10.0k |
| 07-17 00:02 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2734631137 | $1.5k |
| 07-17 00:02 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4189999999 | $2.5k |
| 07-15 22:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.0k |
| 07-13 17:14 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999999 | $1.5k |