smoovster
0xfa77f9e1bd962cb1f1bd2ac0e7b37f38cf0b563b
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $1.99M
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $41.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.1kat 0.143Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.6kat 0.554Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.6kat 0.012Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.025Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.254Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:18 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999914 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 19:02 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 22:00 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $9.00 |
| 10-26 23:14 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.73 |
| 10-26 22:11 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7749999903 | $6.00 |
| 10-23 22:22 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 22:21 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 10-22 10:53 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 10-15 16:46 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 14:58 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 21:32 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 19:48 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.359999983 | $5.93 |
| 10-09 00:55 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $34.12 |
| 10-08 23:01 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.7k |
| 10-08 23:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2843859874 | $5.0k |