smoovster
0xfa77f9e1bd962cb1f1bd2ac0e7b37f38cf0b563b
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $2.03M
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $43.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.1kat 0.143Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.6kat 0.554Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.6kat 0.012Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.025Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.254Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 14:41 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1993229001 | $1.1k |
| 09-05 17:23 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2751668591 | $1.5k |
| 09-02 18:41 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2579511456 | $3.0k |
| 09-02 18:41 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1000.00 |
| 09-01 23:53 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.0k |
| 09-01 23:51 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2484508592 | $2.0k |
| 08-28 20:32 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6499999999 | $2.5k |
| 08-16 20:01 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.5k |
| 08-15 15:48 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4669079486 | $500.00 |
| 08-15 04:55 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5832804919 | $1000.00 |
| 08-15 03:31 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5787845524 | $1000.00 |
| 08-14 22:55 | Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? | BUY | 0.7059092989 | $999.86 |
| 08-14 20:06 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $816.16 |
| 08-12 04:01 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.2109708839 | $559.52 |
| 08-12 03:13 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.6499636139 | $500.00 |