PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

smoovster

0xfa77f9e1bd962cb1f1bd2ac0e7b37f38cf0b563b

Realised P&L
$9.5k
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$20.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5480.555$7.1k+$92.96
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1270.135$5.3k+$296.07
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.6450.635$4.9k$78.70
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0810.086$3.0k+$171.40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3610.335$464.19$35.81
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$25.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5960.000$0.00$4.0k
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.3500.000$0.00$100.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00$125.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6410.000$0.00$200.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$225.00
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.4860.000$0.00$60.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$13.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 19:36Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.086$300.00
07-27 01:23Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0883484548$1.5k
07-24 20:17Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0699999999$1000.00
07-23 16:28Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.6451555399$5.0k
07-22 19:15Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999999$1.1k
07-22 19:15Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1243828099$3.9k
07-19 23:31Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.0791000473$471.96
07-19 23:31Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.2593082786$1.4k
07-19 23:31Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.5807385019$7.0k
07-19 23:31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$8.6k
07-17 00:02Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8260299565$10.0k
07-17 00:02Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2734631137$1.5k
07-17 00:02Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4189999999$2.5k
07-15 22:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$5.0k
07-13 17:14France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999999$1.5k