PolyBot

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Traders

Costasco

0xfa73f630e6adc887033ba817676a3c02448bd943

Realised P&L
$261.39
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$870.63

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8920.895$223.74+$0.74
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.969$212.86+$12.86
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.0000.925$112.25+$112.25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · No0.9720.991$110.06+$2.06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.865$109.49+$9.49
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026? · No0.9020.922$102.24+$2.24
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 22:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.972$108.00
10-08 22:28Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9018390187$100.00
10-08 22:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999997$100.00
09-29 17:42Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.9099999992$23.00
09-17 18:02Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9780469728$50.00
09-17 18:01Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9750747737$50.00
08-21 19:36Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?BUY0.953$63.85
08-17 12:58Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
08-09 15:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?BUY0.9299999929$108.00
08-07 15:46NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999999$108.00
08-06 13:05Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?BUY0.95$50.00
08-05 14:13Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.8899999996$100.00
08-04 19:17Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.8899999996$100.00
07-20 13:47Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9648261273$60.00
07-13 14:40Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9781441225$200.00