Costasco
0xfa73f630e6adc887033ba817676a3c02448bd943
- Realised P&L
- $261.39
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $870.63
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No | 0.892 | 0.895 | $223.74 | +$0.74 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.969 | $212.86 | +$12.86 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.000 | 0.925 | $112.25 | +$112.25 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.972 | 0.991 | $110.06 | +$2.06 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.865 | $109.49 | +$9.49 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.902 | 0.922 | $102.24 | +$2.24 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.52at 0.765US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$67.65at 0.795Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
- +$46.20at 0.670US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$25.56at 0.903Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
- +$18.33at 0.900Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 22:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $108.00 |
| 10-08 22:28 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9018390187 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 22:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 17:42 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $23.00 |
| 09-17 18:02 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9780469728 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 18:01 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9750747737 | $50.00 |
| 08-21 19:36 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.953 | $63.85 |
| 08-17 12:58 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 08-09 15:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999929 | $108.00 |
| 08-07 15:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $108.00 |
| 08-06 13:05 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 14:13 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 19:17 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 13:47 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9648261273 | $60.00 |
| 07-13 14:40 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9781441225 | $200.00 |