PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

amscole

0xfa6ebd4bb0132dd051c3bb56292208f7d267802a

Realised P&L
$-1.01
Volume
$181.97
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$2.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · Yes0.2800.155$2.77−$2.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? · Yes0.6770.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-31 09:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.9$6.50
05-10 12:11Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
05-10 11:56Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.829999982$6.00
04-12 19:02Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.97$24.55
04-12 18:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?SELL0.999$44.99
04-12 11:23Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?BUY0.999$44.99
04-12 11:01Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?BUY0.6699999174$5.88
04-12 10:53Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7899999968$20.00