amscole
0xfa6ebd4bb0132dd051c3bb56292208f7d267802a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.01
- Volume
- $181.97
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.155 | $2.77 | −$2.23 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.56at 0.790Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$0.44at 0.836Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$-0.01at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 09:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.50 |
| 05-10 12:11 | Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 11:56 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.829999982 | $6.00 |
| 04-12 19:02 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.97 | $24.55 |
| 04-12 18:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.99 |
| 04-12 11:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.99 |
| 04-12 11:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.6699999174 | $5.88 |
| 04-12 10:53 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |