nomadgang
0xfa5b7ffc7aaeec92d7d173cc3c6ab11bbff892cc
- Realised P&L
- $-117.90
- Volume
- $57.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,120
- Open portfolio
- $37.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,120
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.427 | 0.395 | $35.16 | −$2.89 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.155 | $1.86 | −$0.18 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.63 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.08 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.446 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.07 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.52 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.49 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.25 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.36 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.85 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.52 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.31at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$61.26at 0.560Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$55.57at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$31.97at 0.610XRP Up or Down - March 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$31.79at 0.606Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:39 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-16 11:50 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.36 |
| 10-16 06:20 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.20 |
| 10-16 04:41 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.60 |
| 10-15 05:18 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.44 |
| 10-15 04:55 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 10-12 20:17 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.75 |
| 10-12 19:45 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 10-12 19:26 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.25 |
| 10-12 09:16 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.42 |
| 10-12 08:33 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 10-12 08:32 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.38 | $6.08 |
| 10-09 13:50 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.31 |
| 10-04 21:39 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 10-04 20:43 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.28 |