1darkfrontiers
0xfa5743e1de201e1295eaccdd9668053b7e4d0d3c
- Realised P&L
- $13.17
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $24.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.0 on September 18, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $24.04 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.86at 0.670UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$11.23at 0.810Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$8.18at 0.780Will Solana dip to $160 by January 31, 2025?
- +$5.27at 0.890Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
- +$4.12at 0.907Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:08 | Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.0 on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 09-03 23:03 | Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m? | BUY | 0.96 | $23.00 |
| 08-25 00:32 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? | BUY | 0.9839999997 | $23.00 |
| 08-21 00:25 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $22.99 |
| 03-30 21:28 | Will Solana dip to $60 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.10 |
| 02-16 22:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $31.11 |
| 01-21 02:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | BUY | 0.8039999988 | $46.09 |
| 01-18 23:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.04 |
| 01-17 02:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.00 |
| 01-16 02:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.9939999839 | $48.85 |
| 01-14 20:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 15? | BUY | 0.9950788174 | $48.61 |
| 01-10 20:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.56 |
| 01-04 23:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 6? | BUY | 0.9975478703 | $51.43 |
| 12-31 01:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.38 |
| 12-28 00:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 30? | BUY | 0.9956730388 | $51.16 |