PolyBot

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Traders

OVs2rJJAb

0xfa536a8c06c171955db8e685073443fcbe682f02

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$85.4k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$1.28

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes0.8200.957$1.17+$0.17
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9510.054$0.11−$1.89
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$72.00
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.5k
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.5k
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.5k
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.5080.000$0.00−$2.50
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.5k
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Down0.5080.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$19.92
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$48.00
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.5080.000$0.00−$2.50
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.5k
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-21 09:19Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.087$19.92
02-03 09:53Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?BUY0.9709999981$2.00
02-03 09:53Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000?BUY0.9859999984$5.00
02-03 09:52No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$5.00
02-03 09:51Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$10.00
02-03 09:51Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.93$3.00
02-03 09:50Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?BUY0.9199999877$3.00
01-12 07:48Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?BUY0.9309997468$1.00
01-12 07:45Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in January?BUY0.91$1.00
01-12 07:42Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?BUY0.9559999694$1.00
01-12 07:41No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.9869999891$1.00
01-12 07:38Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.9509999905$1.00
01-12 07:32Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
01-12 07:29Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?BUY0.96$1.00
01-12 07:26Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9$1.00