OVs2rJJAb
0xfa536a8c06c171955db8e685073443fcbe682f02
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $85.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $1.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 09:19 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.087 | $19.92 |
| 02-03 09:53 | Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $2.00 |
| 02-03 09:53 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000? | BUY | 0.9859999984 | $5.00 |
| 02-03 09:52 | No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 02-03 09:51 | Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 09:51 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 02-03 09:50 | Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 01-12 07:48 | Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | BUY | 0.9309997468 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 07:45 | Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in January? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 07:42 | Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? | BUY | 0.9559999694 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 07:41 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9869999891 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 07:38 | Discord IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9509999905 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 07:32 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 07:29 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 07:26 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |