0xfa4b0aa2dafce7c1899d9988833b27b13fe9e34d
0xfa4b0aa2dafce7c1899d9988833b27b13fe9e34d
- Realised P&L
- $17.42
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $271.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.67at 0.349Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$0.81at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 13:15 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3135927806 | $9.73 |
| 10-12 17:41 | Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October? | BUY | 0.1099999989 | $9.58 |
| 10-12 13:16 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999955 | $9.70 |
| 10-12 13:16 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October? | BUY | 0.4699999962 | $9.80 |
| 10-12 05:05 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.69 |
| 10-12 03:24 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.2599999957 | $9.72 |
| 10-12 03:24 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999948 | $9.70 |
| 10-12 03:24 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.69 |
| 10-11 16:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.2899999925 | $9.73 |
| 10-11 13:16 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.1699999984 | $9.68 |
| 10-11 08:23 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.2199999955 | $9.70 |
| 10-11 02:59 | Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2599999957 | $9.72 |
| 10-11 02:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2999999938 | $9.73 |
| 10-10 17:08 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.2299999948 | $9.70 |
| 10-10 15:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? | BUY | 0.239999996 | $9.71 |