WINTER-X
0xfa49657e9e447aff1dd13d9d1301f6d4c7420530
- Realised P&L
- $-61.90
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $20.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.847 | 0.770 | $9.10 | −$0.90 |
| Panthers vs. Eagles · Panthers | 0.510 | 0.615 | $6.03 | +$1.03 |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) · Raiders | 0.510 | 0.525 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) · Raiders | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 56.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Counter-Strike: HOTU vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs · HOTU | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Raiders vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 41.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.97at 0.462Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-16?
- +$4.88at 0.512Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
- +$4.54at 0.527Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5
- +$4.50at 0.532Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?
- +$4.19at 0.547Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:49 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 18:18 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 22:46 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 20:06 | Panthers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 15:27 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 22:07 | 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 56.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 17:49 | Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 16:09 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 15:48 | Raiders vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 15:29 | Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 12:54 | Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:54 | Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 18:44 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 09:51 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 22:17 | Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |