theghost92
0xfa464e982c8af57dec9378c70026e6e4756a4bb3
- Realised P&L
- $-290.32
- Volume
- $114.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $145.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.034 | $145.43 | +$81.52 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$207.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.76 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.42at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$-5.34at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$-5.35at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$-20.55at 0.034Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999956 | $36.76 |
| 10-05 12:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 12:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 11:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 11:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 10:52 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.064 | $5.12 |
| 09-30 10:51 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.048 | $9.50 |
| 09-30 10:51 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.046 | $5.52 |
| 09-30 10:50 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.045 | $3.80 |
| 09-29 11:08 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.045 | $4.50 |
| 09-29 11:05 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.92 |
| 09-29 11:05 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0236666667 | $2.13 |
| 09-29 11:04 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0188888889 | $1.70 |
| 09-29 10:49 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.14 |
| 09-29 10:48 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.012944 | $1.94 |