0xFA39Dc56189a5e09dfCe16eFe8541B77423C1F40-1764085587194
0xfa39dc56189a5e09dfce16efe8541b77423c1f40
- Realised P&L
- $-89.81
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.44at 0.646Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
- +$98.28at 0.180Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?
- +$25.20at 0.370Chiefs vs. Raiders
- +$15.49at 0.025Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
- +$8.40at 0.790Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:40 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4025 | $16.10 |
| 07-15 08:28 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.7 | $56.00 |
| 07-14 16:39 | Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.49 | $23.73 |
| 07-14 16:38 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.61 | $24.40 |
| 07-14 16:38 | Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.5114754098 | $31.20 |
| 07-14 16:35 | Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.47 | $39.28 |
| 07-14 16:17 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 07-14 10:05 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.74 | $103.60 |
| 07-09 11:25 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | BUY | 0.03485 | $6.97 |
| 07-08 20:47 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.20 |
| 07-08 20:47 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.28 |
| 07-01 14:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $19.60 |
| 06-17 19:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 06-17 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 05-22 06:39 | Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.01 |