PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xFA39Dc56189a5e09dfCe16eFe8541B77423C1F40-1764085587194

0xfa39dc56189a5e09dfce16efe8541b77423c1f40

Realised P&L
$-89.81
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · No0.8680.903$717.88+$27.89
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.7810.705$430.05$46.45
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.4900.615$135.30+$27.50
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.4700.665$55.58+$16.30
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0300.035$49.00+$7.00
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.5110.710$43.31+$12.11
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$13.65$19.95
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.085$11.90$7.70
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · No0.1000.165$6.59+$2.60
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? · Yes0.0340.027$5.80$1.45
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.022$4.22$22.66
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? · Yes0.0110.007$1.40$0.80
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00$1.20
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.3940.000$0.00$31.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$3.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:40Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4025$16.10
07-15 08:28Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.7$56.00
07-14 16:39Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.49$23.73
07-14 16:38Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.61$24.40
07-14 16:38Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.5114754098$31.20
07-14 16:35Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.47$39.28
07-14 16:17Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.9$4.50
07-14 10:05Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.74$103.60
07-09 11:25Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?BUY0.03485$6.97
07-08 20:47Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?BUY0.011$2.20
07-08 20:47Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?BUY0.019$0.28
07-01 14:37Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$19.60
06-17 19:14Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.01$0.50
06-17 18:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.14$2.80
05-22 06:39Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.007$3.01