0xFA39Dc56189a5e09dfCe16eFe8541B77423C1F40-1764085587194
0xfa39dc56189a5e09dfce16efe8541b77423c1f40
- Realised P&L
- $20.59
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $856.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.44at 0.646Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
- +$98.28at 0.180Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?
- +$90.07at 0.889Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
- +$26.94at 0.530Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?
- +$25.20at 0.370Chiefs vs. Raiders
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 20:19 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.67 | $30.15 |
| 10-21 20:16 | Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.89 | $66.71 |
| 10-20 18:17 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.44 |
| 10-05 16:54 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.84 |
| 10-04 15:00 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $32.00 |
| 10-04 13:56 | Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.57 | $13.08 |
| 10-02 20:46 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.81 | $151.47 |
| 10-02 20:42 | Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.43 | $39.59 |
| 09-27 06:53 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.9688238667 | $145.32 |
| 09-26 22:17 | Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.0083050165 | $11.63 |
| 08-06 20:37 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.68 | $27.93 |
| 08-06 20:35 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.911 | $181.05 |
| 07-19 21:40 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4025 | $16.10 |
| 07-15 08:28 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.7 | $56.00 |
| 07-14 16:39 | Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.49 | $23.73 |