PolyBot

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Traders

Nigel364

0xfa2bc333d6d26372e7d1064c6fa61ecf67f2c35d

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$479.3k
Markets traded
2,380
Open portfolio
$576.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,380
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.165$469.24$288.50
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.024$22.38+$2.38
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.0800.142$18.46+$8.06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1300.065$15.00$15.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.145$10.98$14.02
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.3890.160$10.11$14.51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$9.37$15.62
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.6550.215$8.60$17.60
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5940.082$6.86$43.14
Ben Pasternak jailed? · Yes0.0830.019$3.31$10.82
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.2600.026$2.08$18.70
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1650.045$0.27$0.73
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$20.00
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$1.94
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 10:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?SELL0.999$33.54
06-18 02:59Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.1519999835$7.00
06-17 14:47Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.84$46.66
06-11 12:55Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?BUY0.0882352863$10.00
06-11 12:55Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?BUY0.080156744$10.00
06-11 12:55Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?BUY0.03876427$1.94
06-05 10:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2085106183$7.00
06-05 10:08Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5699999966$10.00
06-04 22:38Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?BUY0.2299999893$15.00
06-04 15:16Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?BUY0.2249999906$15.00
06-04 03:23Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.99$13.07
06-04 02:06Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.8865071982$24.02
06-04 01:56Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.915$12.08
06-01 14:09Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1299999967$30.00
05-30 13:57Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.599999994$20.00