PolyBot

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Traders

Nigel364

0xfa2bc333d6d26372e7d1064c6fa61ecf67f2c35d

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$468.4k
Markets traded
2,380
Open portfolio
$360.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,380
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 10:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?SELL0.999$33.54
06-18 02:59Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.1519999835$7.00
06-17 14:47Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.84$46.66
06-11 12:55Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?BUY0.0882352863$10.00
06-11 12:55Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?BUY0.080156744$10.00
06-11 12:55Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?BUY0.03876427$1.94
06-05 10:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2085106183$7.00
06-05 10:08Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5699999966$10.00
06-04 22:38Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?BUY0.2299999893$15.00
06-04 15:16Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?BUY0.2249999906$15.00
06-04 03:23Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.99$13.07
06-04 02:06Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.8865071982$24.02
06-04 01:56Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.915$12.08
06-01 14:09Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1299999967$30.00
05-30 13:57Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.599999994$20.00