PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StfOvrmnV

0xfa288dc196fcfb4ac0ddc19cf251d5d0d0c72d3a

Realised P&L
$-58.94
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
879
Open portfolio
$6.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded879
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1530.055$2.88$5.12
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0180.007$1.85$2.95
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3810.556$1.44+$0.45
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 9PM ET · Up0.8800.000$0.00$2.20
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$2.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5840.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$3.38
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$3.22
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$2.68
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$7.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$4.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31? · No0.9000.000$0.00$1.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$2.15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 22:17Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0181461102$4.80
07-19 21:59Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.93$1.40
07-11 03:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.88$2.20
07-10 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.95$2.09
07-10 17:30Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.89$2.67
07-10 17:30Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.89$2.67
07-10 12:59Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BBUY0.89$2.67
07-10 07:23Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 10?BUY0.93$2.79
07-10 01:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9PM ETBUY0.87$2.17
07-09 15:49Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsBUY0.91$2.73
07-09 15:49Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsBUY0.91$2.73
07-09 14:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?SELL0.999$5.99
07-09 09:33Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?BUY0.908$2.72
07-09 09:33Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?BUY0.906$2.72
07-09 06:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.94$2.35