PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tonykakkar

0xfa27d82e59e27cf85d995210cd26f6760ac8d1d3

Realised P&L
$-614.26
Volume
$65.3k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$104.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No0.4901.000$102.00+$52.02
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.5900.290$2.90$3.00
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$57.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 10:01Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?SELL0.52$301.08
04-10 15:41Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.55$318.45
04-09 10:49Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?SELL0.59$319.19
04-07 17:25Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?BUY0.61$330.01
03-25 15:45Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4$218.40
03-22 16:06Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46$251.16
03-22 03:12Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?SELL0.55$79.75
03-22 03:11Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?SELL0.55$85.25
03-21 20:23Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?SELL0.55$85.80
03-20 10:02Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?BUY0.59$269.04
03-18 17:05US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?SELL0.28$5.04
03-18 16:00Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?SELL0.72$23.04
03-17 16:11Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?BUY0.73$23.36
03-17 14:55Will Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference?BUY0.63$643.86
03-16 01:29Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?SELL0.36$51.48