yxcvbnm256
0xfa232ed0dd0db65e836be34ee4ccb02735460e31
- Realised P&L
- $-216.87
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $101.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? · No | 0.784 | 0.785 | $58.34 | +$0.04 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.110 | $17.42 | +$7.92 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.065 | $16.25 | −$21.25 |
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No | 0.570 | 0.505 | $8.59 | −$1.10 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.015 | $1.21 | −$8.79 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.23at 0.500Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$51.29at 0.910Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$17.97at 0.357Will Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$9.85at 0.457World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada
- +$7.02at 0.447Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 19:35 | Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.0599999997 | $9.50 |
| 09-12 19:34 | Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.57 | $9.69 |
| 09-12 19:33 | Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? | SELL | 0.77 | $20.10 |
| 09-12 19:00 | Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? | BUY | 0.7844621325 | $78.77 |
| 07-17 12:16 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 11:05 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.029 | $16.11 |
| 06-11 07:26 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 06:51 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 20:24 | World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada | SELL | 0.9035013501 | $20.08 |
| 05-26 20:14 | World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 09:03 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $13.33 |
| 03-15 09:02 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 02-24 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $1.31 |
| 02-24 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $0.97 |
| 02-24 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $1.05 |