1rezak
0xfa1e15095ff7eb7c3828861c738407a54a7305ac
- Realised P&L
- $-177.83
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $142.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.36at 0.110Jazz vs. Spurs
- +$22.14at 0.734Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?
- +$16.00at 0.200Nets vs. Timberwolves
- +$13.95at 0.420Suns vs. Hawks
- +$10.98at 0.820Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:05 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.9874881812 | $143.70 |
| 09-15 10:23 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.87 | $13.97 |
| 09-04 21:51 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7899999938 | $12.69 |
| 09-01 08:19 | Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.7699999945 | $9.86 |
| 09-01 08:15 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.95 |
| 08-26 14:17 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.8299999839 | $8.27 |
| 08-23 18:29 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | BUY | 0.9299999952 | $7.75 |
| 08-23 17:45 | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.77 |
| 07-26 12:53 | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8699999874 | $6.90 |
| 07-26 12:47 | Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)? | SELL | 0.975 | $6.95 |
| 07-22 10:02 | Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)? | BUY | 0.9099999916 | $6.49 |
| 07-19 17:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999642 | $3.85 |
| 07-09 10:04 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.13 |
| 06-11 09:45 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 09:44 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.34 |